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BRIEF

Trade Research, Data, and Policy Insights on the COVID-19 Pandemic

This roundup of trade research, data, and policy insights by the Development Research Group at the World Bank focuses on the early impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the international movement of goods and services, and the people affected. 


FEATURED RESEARCH

How Resilient Was Trade to COVID-19?
Maria Bas, Ana Margarida Fernandes, and Caroline Paunov
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9975, March 2022

This paper examines which product supply-side characteristics affect the resilience of traded products to the COVID-19 pandemic. Relying on monthly product-level exports by all countries to the United States, Japan, and 27 European Union countries from January 2018 to December 2020, the paper estimates a difference-in-differences specification for the impact of COVID-19 incidence (deaths per capita) mediated by product characteristics, accounting for when exports reach their destination by relying on product transportation lags. Higher reliance on foreign inputs, China as an input supplier, and unskilled labor and a lower degree of complexity negatively affected exports as a result of COVID-19.



  • Cristina Constantinescu, Ana Margarida Fernandes, Arti Grover, Stavros Poupakis, and Santiago Reyes
    World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9991, April 2022

    Maria Bas, Ana Margarida Fernandes, and Caroline Paunov
    World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9975, March 2022


    Laurent Bossavie, Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Mattia Makovec, and ?a?lar ?zden
    World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9873, December 2021

    Ruchir Agarwal, Tristan Reed
    World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9632, April 2021 |

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    Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Nicolas Gomez Parra, ?a?lar ?zdenBob Rijkers, Mariana Viollaz, Hernan Winkler
    ľ¹ÏÓ°Ôº Research Observer 36 (1): 67¨C100, February 2021 |  | COVID-19 eSeminar Video (July 2020) | Story (October 2020)

    Laurent Bossavie, Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Mattia Makovec, ?a?lar ?zden
    World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9500, December 2020


    Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Tristan ReedBrookings Papers on Economic Activity, Summer, 161-211, 2020

    Understanding the shock, its economic implications, and the policy challenge
    Box I.B.2. in 

     

  • Mamta Murthi, Tristan Reed | Investing in Health, September 24, 2021


    Laurent Bossavie, Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Mattia Makovec, ?a?lar ?zden  | VoxEU | September 1, 2021

    Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Tristan Reed, Brookings BPEA article, June 25, 2020

    Tristan Reed | Let¡¯s Talk Development, June 17, 2021

    Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Nicol¨¢s G¨®mez Parra, ?a?lar ?zden, Bob Rijkers | Future Development, May 18, 2020


    Penny Bamber, Karina Fernandez-Stark,  | Let¡¯s Talk Development, May 12, 2020

    , , ?a?lar ?zden | Let¡¯s Talk Development, May 11, 2020

    POLICY BRIEFS


    Mamta Murthi and Tristan Reed, Research & Policy Brief 49, World Bank, Washington, DC, August 2021

    Tristan Reed | Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, June 25, 2020

    Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Nicolas Gomez Parra, ?a?lar ?zden, Bob Rijkers | Research & Policy Brief 34, World Bank, May 2020

    Tristan Reed, William Waites, David Manheim, Damien de Walque, Chiara Vallini, Roberta Gatti, Timothy B. Hallett | Research & Policy Brief 43, March 2021

    PRESENTATIONS


    April 11, 2020
    Tristan Reed, Fujie Wang, Nicolas Gomez Parra, Nicolas Eduardo Santos Villagran, Erhan Artuc, ?a?lar ?zden
    This presentation provides rules of thumb for assessing national needs for medical supplies, specifically personal protection equipment (PPE) for health workers, ventilators and testing kits, and a rough estimate of global demand.


    April 1, 2020
    Hiau Looi Kee
    Background note prepared for presentation on short term impacts on trade due to lockdown in China.

  • Developing a Plan to Vaccinate the World
    June 2, 2021

    In this talk by World Bank economist, Tristan Reed, explored new research on vaccine demand and supply that offers a path to reaching higher vaccination coverage against COVID-19, including challenges and opportunities around closing global vaccination gaps, examining vaccine need given age structures, available vaccines and COVID-19 dynamics, organized demand and financing for vaccine purchasing, vaccine supply chains and production capacity of manufacturers, and what the international community should do next.
     |  |  |  |  | | More about Tristan Reed

    The Labor Market Impacts of COVID-19
    July 6, 2020 |
    Video

    The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak has sparked deep concerns about the effects of the pandemic shock on employment. Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University), Edward Glaeser (Harvard University), Bob Rijkers (World Bank), and David Autor (MIT) discussed new research on how COVID-19 is rapidly changing labor market outcomes around the globe.

    Labor Mobility, Migration, and COVID-19
    May 14, 2020 |
    Video

    Border closures, social distancing measures, and economic lockdowns are among the standard and immediate policies being implemented in the fight against COVID-19. The impact on labor markets¡ªespecially on migrant workers and their employers¡ªhas been swift and severe. Mushfiq Mobarak (Professor of Economics, Yale University), and Erhan Artuc  (Senior Economist, World Bank).

    Trade and Global Value Chains in the Age of COVID-19
    April 22, 2020 |
    Video

    How is COVID-19 disrupting global value chains? How will impaired global trade affect countries' ability to save lives and livelihoods? Richard Baldwin (Professor, Graduate Institute Geneva), Vasco Carvalho (Professor, Cambridge University), and Simon Evenett (Professor, University of St Gallen).