????, 2024 ???????? 02 - 2022 ?????? ?? ????? ????? ????????? ????? ?????? ????????? ???? 2024 ???????? ????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ???? ????? ????????? 2.2% ? ???????? ?????? ???????? ???????? ??? ??? ??? ?????? ???????? ?? ??. ?????, ?? ??? ????? ??? ????????? ??????, ?????? ??????????? ?? ????? ??????? ????? ????? ?? ??? ??????? ???? ????-??????? ??????? ????? ????? ????.
?? ??? ?????? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??????? ????? ???????? ????? ????? ?????? ??????? ??? ??????? ??? ????, ?? ?????? ????????????? ??????????? ????? ???? ??? ??????? ??? ????, ???? ?? ????? ?????????? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????????? ????? ?????? ??????? ????? ??? ???? ???? ???? ??? ????? ?????? ???? ?????? ??????????? ???????? ??? ???? ?.
???? ???? ????????? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ????? (4) ???? ?? ??? ????? ??????????? 25.9% ?? 2023 ???????? ????????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???. ????? ?????? ??????????? ???????? ???????? ??? ??? ????????? ???? ?????????? ?? ?????? ????????? ?????????? ??? ????? ???? ????????? ??? ?? ?????? ????????? ????? ??? ????? ???? ?????????? ?????? ????? ??????. ??????? ??? ???, ?????? ????? ?????? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ???????????? ????? ??????? ??? ?? ????. ?? ????? ???? ?????? ???? ???????? ?????????? ????? ??????? ?? ???????? ?????? ????????? ??? ????? ???????? ???? ?? ??.
"?????? ?????? ??????? ????? ??? ???????? ????? ?????, ?? ??? ?????????? ????? ???????? ?? ?????????? ??????????? ??????????????? ????? ????? ??????? ?? ??????? ?? ??????? ??? ?? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ????? ???????? ???? ??? ?? ?????? ????????? ? ??? ???????", ??????? ??? ??????? ?????????, ?????? ?? ?????? ????? ?? ????? ???? ????????, ?????? ????? ??????? ???? ?????. ¡°???? ???? ?????? ????? ?????? ??: ?????, ????? ?????? ??????????? ???? ?? ????????????? ?????? ????? ?? ??????, ?????? ??????? ?? ??????????? ??? ????? ???? ?????????? ?? ???????? ????? ?? ????????? ??? ?? ????? ????? ???? ?????? ????????????? ?????? ?????." ???? ?? ???? ???????? ??????.
??? ?????, ??? ??????? ????? 2025 ???????? 2.5% ? ?????? ???????? ????? ??? ???????? ?? ??. ??? ?? ????? ?? ??? ??????? ???????? ??? ??? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ???? ??????????? ????? ??? ?? ??????? ?? ????? ????.
???? ???? ?? ?????? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ??? ???? ????? ??????? ????. 2026 ????? ????? ????????? ????? 22% ?? ?????? ????? ??????? ????. ?????? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ??? ?????????? ???? ?? ?????????????? ??????, ????????????? ??????? ?? ??????? ???? ???? ??????, ?????? ?????????? ??? ??????? ????? ?? ?????? ???????? ????????? ?????? ?? ????? ?? ??????? ????? ????? ????. ????? ?????-?????? ??????????, ???? ???????? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ???????? ?? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ??????? ??? ????????? ??? ????? ???? ???????? ????????????? ??????????? ????? ????? ??????????? ?? ??????? ????? ???????? ??????? ?? ??.
??? ??? ?? ????? ?????? ??? ?????? ?????? ?????? ??? ???????? ????? ?????????. ?? ??????? ????? ??? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?? ????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ???? ??? ??? ?? ????? ????? ??? ??????????? ?????? ??????? ? ????????? ????. 2024 ???????? ????? ????? ??????? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ??? ????????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???. 2024 ?? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? 6% ?? ??? ????? ??????? ????. ?? ???? ?????? ???? ????? ????????? ???????? ?????? ????????, ?????????? ?? ????? ????? ???? ???? ???????? ????? ??? ???? ??? ????????. ????? ??? ????? ???? ??? ???????? ?? ???????? ???????? ????? ??. ???? ???? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????-19 ????? ???? ???????? ??? ?????? ?????? ??? ??? ?????? ????. ???? ????? ??????? ???????? ????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ???? ??.
???? ????? ???????? ???? ?????? ??? ???? ?????????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ????????????? ???? ????? ???. ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ?? ????????? ????????? ????? ??? ??????? ????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?? ??. ???? ?????? ????? ???? ????????? ?????? ???????? ??? ???????? ????? ??.
Source: World Bank, Poverty & Equity and Macroeconomics, Trade & Investment Global Practices. Emissions data sourced from CAIT and OECD.
Notes: e = estimate, f = forecast.
(a) Components of GDP by expenditure for 2020-2022 are estimates, as the data published on March 15, 2024, by authorities only included GDP by production.
(b) Calculations based on SAR-POV harmonization, using 2019-HIES. Actual data: 2019. Microsimulation that models sectoral GDP growth rates, inflation, remittances, employment, and cash transfers 2020-2022. Nowcast and forecast (2023-2026) use nominal GDP growth rates by sector and CPI inflation.
