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OPINION

Preparing for the Robots: Which Skills for 21st Century Jobs?

March 2, 2016


Christian Bodewig, Program Leader for Inclusive Growth in European Union Member States Brookings

The robots are coming and are taking our jobs. Or are they? The media and the blogosphere have been buzzing lately about the impact of artificial intelligence and robotics on our lives. In particular, the on the of automation on employment has amplified concerns about the loss of jobs in advanced economies.

And accelerating technological change points the spotlight on questions like: Do workers, blue and white collar alike, possess the right skills for a changing labor market? Are they prepared for the employment shocks that come with the so-called ? What skills strategy should countries adopt to equip their workforces for the 21st century?

A good start to answering these questions is to and understand skills formation. A worker¡¯s skill set has three components: cognitive skills like basic numeracy and literacy (including digital literacy), as well as advanced problem-solving and creative and critical thinking skills; social and behavioral skills like conscientiousness, grit, and openness to experience; and job- or occupation-specific technical skills like those required to work as an engineer or electrician.

Cognitive and social and emotional skill formation starts from very early childhood, with many  social and behavioral skills remain malleable throughout adult life. But the window for building cognitive skills closes with late adolescence. This does not mean we stop learning new things, but our brains are hardwired at certain point in development.

In contrast, technical skills are acquired later from adolescence throughout adulthood and in vocational schools, universities, and on the job. They depreciate, at an increasingly fast rate given technological change, and require constant upgrading.

Cognitive and social and behavioral skills are a priority

Skills strategies should prioritize the formation of cognitive and social and behavioral skills in early childhood and school. Good cognitive and social and behavioral skills are necessary for gaining and improving technical skills throughout life. They make workers more resilient to technology-driven labor market shocks like automation.

because they are more adaptable and flexible. On the contrary, adults with poor literacy and numeracy skills have difficulty learning and updating the technical skills needed to  compete in the modern job market.

All , including in the United States and jobs are shifting from routine tasks, which are prone to automation, towards interactive tasks, which require advanced cognitive and social and behavioral skills. 

Yet many youth and adults in advanced and emerging economies have considerable basic cognitive skill deficits. Take the European Union (EU) for instance. In a majority of EU countries a fifth or more of 15 year-olds scored below functional literacy and numeracy in the mathematics and reading tests of the 2012 .

Poor performers often come from socially disadvantaged backgrounds, suggesting that for social mobility. This is bad economic and social news for countries with declining and aging populations.


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What does such a skills strategy mean for 21st century education policy?

First, governments should prioritize universal basic cognitive skills like reading and mathematics, emphasizing quality education for children from disadvantaged background who are disproportionately represented among poor performers in PISA. This starts with expanding quality early childhood development and education interventions to help . Strengthening social and behavioral skills in school, for example through interventions, can be an effective tool to make up for disadvantage by boosting students¡¯ confidence and goal orientation.

Second, governments can take advantage of the opportunity provided by longer years of schooling: With students ¡°captive¡± in kindergarten and school during the critical period of their skills formation, innovation in classroom and teaching practices, such as in , can help foster advanced skills like problem-solving, critical thinking and team work.

Third, the answer to the fast depreciation of technical skills is, beyond ensuring faster brains, a faster adaptation of technical education and training content through greater partnership between firms and universities and vocational schools. Technology and big data can help capture and better understand the evolution of in real time: Just let the robots work for us.

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